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中国癌症防治杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 17 ›› Issue (4): 421-246.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1674-5671.2025.04.04

• 癌情监测 • 上一篇    下一篇

2011—2020年广西肺癌发病率和死亡率的变化趋势

  

  1. 广西医科大学附属肿瘤医院;广西壮族自治区卫生健康委员会肿瘤分子医学重点(培育)实验室(广西医科大学附属肿瘤医院);广西壮族自治区肿瘤分子医学工程研究中心
  • 出版日期:2025-08-25 发布日期:2025-09-11
  • 通讯作者: 余红平,E-mail:yuhongping@stu.gxmu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
     2022年度广西高校中青年教师科研基础能力提升项目(2022KY0092)

Trends in lung cancer incidence and mortality in Guangxi from 2011  to 2020

  • Online:2025-08-25 Published:2025-09-11

摘要: 目的 分析2011—2020 年广西肺癌发病率和死亡率的变化趋势,为制定肺癌防控策略提供循证依据。方法 基于广西肿瘤登记地区 2011—2020 年肺癌登记数据,计算粗发病率和死亡率,以及中国人口年龄标准化发病率(简称中标发病率)和中国人口年龄标准化死亡率(简称中标死亡率)等指标,利用Joinpoint回归模型分析肺癌发病率与死亡率的时间变化趋势,并据此计算年度变化百分比(annual percentage change,APC)。结果 2020年广西肺癌新发病例 16 035 例,死亡病例13 298 例。粗发病率、中标发病率分别为 41.11/10万、30.02/10万;粗死亡率、中标死亡率分别为 34.10/10万、24.32/10万。其中,男性中标发病率(41.60/10万 vs 18.93/10万)与中标死亡率(36.00/10万 vs 13.22/10万)均高于女性,且均随年龄增长而升高。2011—2020年广西肺癌中标发病率与中标死亡率均呈显著下降趋势,年均下降分别为3.45% (APC=-3.45%,95%CI:-4.54%~-2.35%)和3.10% (APC=-3.10%, 95%CI:-4.92%~-1.24%)。不同性别和年龄组人群的中标发病率和中标死亡率变化趋势与总体变化一致。 结论  2011—2020 年广西肺癌发病率和死亡率有所下降,但疾病负担依然沉重。亟需加强公众防癌意识,并实施综合干预策略以减轻肺癌带来的健康负担。

关键词: 肺癌, 发病率, 死亡率, 时间趋势

Abstract: Objective To analyze the trends in lung cancer incidence and mortality in Guangxi from 2011 to 2020, and provide evidence⁃based recommendations for development of strategies and measures for lung cancer prevention and control. Methods Utilizing lung cancer registration data from Guangxi cancer registry areas spanning 2011 to 2020, the crude incidence and mortality rates, as well as the age⁃standardized incidence rate by Chinese population (ASIRC), and age⁃standardized mortality rate by Chinese population (ASMRC) , were calculated. The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the temporal trends in lung cancer incidence and mortality, facilitating the calculation of  the annual percentage change (APC). Results In 2020, Guangxi recorded 16,035 new cases and 13,298 deaths of lung cancer. The crude incidence and ASIRC were 41.11/105 and 30.02/105, respectively, while the crude mortality and ASMRC were 34.10/105 and 24.32/105, respectively. Among men, both the ASIRC (41.60/105 vs 18.93/105) and the ASMRC (36.00/105 vs 13.22/105) were higher than those among women, and both increased with age. From 2011 to 2020, there was a significant downward trend in the ASIRC and ASMRC of lung cancer in Guangxi, with average annual decreases of 3.45% (APC=-3.45%, 95%CI: -4.54% to -2.35%) and 3.10% (APC=-3.10%, 95%CI: -4.92% to -1.24%) , respectively. The trends of ASIRC and ASMRC across different gender and age groups were consistent with the overall trend. Conclusions Although here has been a decline in the incidence and mortality rates of lung cancer in Guangxi from 2011 to 2020, the disease burden remains substantial. It is imperative to enhance public awareness regarding cancer prevention and to implement comprehensive intervention strategies to reduce the burden of lung cancer.

Key words: Lung cancer, Incidence, Mortality, Temporal trends

中图分类号: 

  • R734.2